Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.918862 5.601296 6.353145 7.244405 8.274023 9.428375 10.823787
2025-04-13 3.926444 4.794865 5.826987 7.149487 8.806776 10.824900 13.483799
2025-04-20 3.447221 4.433260 5.673253 7.358095 9.604594 12.520362 16.629593
2025-04-27 3.090009 4.143777 5.531168 7.509224 10.285689 14.086591 19.756991
2025-05-04 2.857044 3.973110 5.502446 7.776991 11.118080 15.914676 23.446940
2025-05-11 2.532671 3.631093 5.187791 7.587522 11.252003 16.732471 25.729956
2025-05-18 2.289819 3.375013 4.960811 7.486948 11.484831 17.694875 28.322368
2025-05-25 2.089861 3.159205 4.766359 7.405153 11.722029 18.668796 31.029797
2025-06-01 1.907881 2.951492 4.560820 7.277763 11.860784 19.482188 33.547694
2025-06-08 1.743543 2.755249 4.352854 7.120549 11.924425 20.162812 35.899074
2025-06-15 1.689040 2.729281 4.413418 7.411609 12.775523 22.281058 41.119918
2025-06-22 1.598614 2.635370 4.351945 7.484081 13.243820 23.760937 45.322661
2025-06-29 1.493671 2.509884 4.228974 7.440850 13.506105 24.907369 49.067067
2025-07-06 1.392830 2.383085 4.092675 7.359512 13.686868 25.916625 52.671072
2025-07-13 1.347520 2.349754 4.117495 7.576852 14.459881 28.164872 59.189786
2025-07-20 1.296771 2.302074 4.111459 7.733146 15.126184 30.270936 65.701820
2025-07-27 1.265946 2.288028 4.165388 8.009693 16.063517 33.045911 74.136502
2025-08-03 1.177184 2.158643 3.991279 7.814033 15.993920 33.655139 77.588594
2025-08-10 1.107209 2.059820 3.868003 7.710177 16.108072 34.677552 82.184463
2025-08-17 1.045210 1.971872 3.759056 7.625716 16.254494 35.786414 87.157542
2025-08-24 0.982991 1.879056 3.633376 7.494179 16.281227 36.619436 91.545107
2025-08-31 0.922413 1.785341 3.498991 7.331856 16.220572 37.237043 95.455122
2025-09-07 0.912219 1.792758 3.572193 7.632382 17.269209 40.664651 107.558567